Tesla's stock surged 22% following strong Q3 earnings and growth in its Full Self-Driving software, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future despite some concerns.
Questions to inspire discussion
Tesla's Financial Performance
πQ: What drove Tesla's stock surge in Q3 2022?
A: Tesla's stock surged 22% after reporting better-than-expected profits and robust gross automotive margins, with shares reaching $50 per share and costs to produce vehicles declining significantly.
Future Products and Services
πQ: What is Tesla's plan for autonomous robotaxis?
A: Tesla plans to launch Cybercab production in 2026 and operate robotaxis in Texas and California by the end of 2023, with the robotaxi service expected to dwarf its automotive business.
πQ: When will Tesla introduce more affordable vehicles?
A: Tesla's affordable vehicles will enter production in Q2 2023, potentially cannibalizing sales of higher-priced models like the Model 3 and Y.
Autonomous Driving Technology
π€Q: How is Tesla approaching full autonomy for its existing fleet?
A: Tesla's 7 million vehicle fleet will be capable of full autonomy with a software update, allowing rapid global scaling "with the click of a button".
πQ: How is Tesla's autonomous software improving?
A: Tesla's autonomous software is improving measurably, with intervention per mile decreasing over time, potentially giving Tesla an advantage over competitors like Waymo that rely on expensive sensors and mapping.
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Key Insights
Financial Performance
πTesla's stock surged 22% after reporting better-than-expected Q3 2022 profit, with shares reaching $50 higher per share.
π°The company's gross automotive margins are more robust than anticipated, with costs declining meaningfully, allowing Tesla to pass savings to consumers while maintaining margins.
Future Products and Production
πTesla plans to launch robotaxis in 2023, aiming to produce 2-4 million units per year, potentially dwarfing its current automotive business.
π»Mass production of the Cybertruck is scheduled to begin in 2026, while the more affordable Model 2.5 will enter production in Q2 2023.
Technological Advancements
ποΈTesla's vision-only autonomy system is supported by 1 billion+ examples of human driving without intervention, with improvements measurable by decreasing intervention per mile.
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#Tesla
XMentions: @Tesla @stevenmarkryanΒ
Clips
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00:00 π Tesla stock jumped 22% post-Q3 earnings as strong profits and resilient margins prompted analysts to raise price targets and shift perspectives on future growth.
- Tesla stock surged 22% after Q3 earnings, likely due to panic buyers returning as gross automotive margins proved more resilient than expected and production costs declined.
- Tesla shares surged after better-than-expected profits, with analysts raising price targets to $125 and $249.
- Tom is the first analyst to model Tesla licensing FSD, showing a shift in perspective as Colin's bearish stance becomes harder to defend following a strong quarterly performance.
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02:31 π Tesla's stock soared 22% due to strong earnings and Full Self-Driving software, highlighting its growth potential in autonomous vehicles despite margin concerns.
- Tesla's recent stock surge is attributed to the release of Full Self-Driving software and strong earnings, despite concerns over price cuts and a slight decline in volume.
- Tesla's future growth potential lies in its autonomous vehicle plans, which could overshadow its current automotive business, despite ongoing concerns about gross margins.
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04:33 π Despite concerns over sales predictions and margin impacts from lower-priced models, Tesla's strong gross margins and growth in non-automotive sectors indicate a positive stock outlook.
- Concerns are raised about Tesla's sales predictions for next year, suggesting that lower-priced models may cannibalize demand for existing models and potentially lead to decreased volumes.
- Tesla is set to begin production of more affordable vehicles in the first half of next year, which, combined with decreasing interest rates and potential economic recovery, suggests strong future sales despite skepticism.
- The speaker expresses skepticism about focusing solely on Tesla's core automotive business and emphasizes the importance of margins.
- Tesla's margins will significantly decrease if they introduce lower-priced vehicles, as maintaining comparable profit percentages will be challenging without drastically reducing production costs.
- Tesla's strong gross margins and anticipated growth in non-automotive sectors like energy storage and autonomy suggest a positive outlook for the stock despite price cuts.
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08:50 π Election risks loom over Tesla, but a Trump presidency could boost the stock through job creation and favorable regulatory conditions.
- Election risk poses a significant threat to Tesla stock, especially if a candidate perceived as unfavorable to Elon Musk were to win.
- Trump's presidency could significantly benefit Tesla through job creation and economic growth due to his focus on US manufacturing and a strong relationship with Elon Musk.
- Elon Musk's support for Trump could positively impact Tesla by potentially facilitating regulatory approval for autonomous vehicles under a Trump administration.
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11:01 π Tesla's stock jumped 22% as affordable vehicle production boosts sales and consumer confidence amid declining costs.
- Tesla's upcoming affordable vehicle production will significantly increase electric vehicle sales, reducing reliance on internal combustion engines, regardless of government influence.
- Tesla's stock surged 22% as consumers feel more confident in purchasing vehicles due to decreasing costs and price cuts.
- Tesla's cost of goods is trending down over time, following a spike due to supply chain shocks during the pandemic.
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13:04 π Tesla's stock surged 22% despite ongoing skepticism about its autonomy and challenges in its auto business, while its vision-only strategy is seen as more scalable than competitors' reliance on costly sensors.
- Tesla may face ongoing pressure in its auto business and challenges with its robo-taxi plans despite recent sales increases.
- Colin and other Wall Street analysts remain skeptical about Tesla's autonomy despite the recent surge in its stock price.
- Full autonomy using vision is proven effective through numerous successful intervention-free drives, demonstrating measurable software improvement over time.
- Weo's reliance on high-definition maps and expensive sensors for self-driving technology creates a perception of being ahead of Tesla, but this approach is not scalable compared to Tesla's vision-only strategy.
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16:12 π Tesla's focus on teaching cars to drive like humans and leveraging software updates for future autonomy is set to pay off, driving stock prices higher despite criticism of Elon Musk.
- Tesla's approach to achieving full vehicle autonomy focuses on teaching cars to drive like humans using general knowledge, unlike other methods that require exhaustive mapping of environments before driving.
- A company aiming to operate for 10-15 years with a small fleet of expensive, unprofitable vehicles in limited areas is unsustainable.
- A more effective strategy for scaling autonomous vehicles globally would involve focusing on a pure vision system rather than relying on expensive sensors and hardware.
- Tesla sells vehicles with the promise of future autonomy through software updates, leveraging customer data to enhance their autonomous systems while generating profit.
- Despite criticism of Elon Musk, the speaker believes that investing in Tesla will pay off as public perception shifts with the rising stock price.Β
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Duration: 0:22:7
Publication Date: 2024-10-25T08:42:23Z
WatchUrl: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zekI-mdlRqA-------------------------------------