Tesla FSD Unsupervised THIS YEAR? Elon Musk Confirms Timeline for Personal Cars!

Tesla FSD Timeline and Availability

🚗 Q: When will Tesla's unsupervised FSD be available for personal use?
A: Tesla's unsupervised FSD for personal use is expected to be available by the end of 2024, according to Elon Musk.

🌆 Q: Where will Tesla's robo taxis be deployed first?
A: Tesla plans to deploy 10-20 robo taxis in Austin, Texas in June 2025, before scaling to other cities in Texas, the southern US, and globally.

💰 Q: How much might unsupervised FSD cost as a subscription?
A: Tesla is considering offering unsupervised FSD as an optional feature for $1.99 per month, in addition to the current $99/month supervised FSD.

Tesla FSD Technology and Safety

👁️ Q: How does Tesla's FSD compare to human drivers in terms of safety?
A: Tesla's FSD vehicles are already superhuman in their ability to see in all directions at all times and will eventually have faster reaction times than humans.

🛑 Q: How often do safety-critical disengagements occur with Tesla's supervised FSD?
A: Safety-critical disengagements with Tesla's supervised FSD are extremely rare, with interventions mainly needed for speed adjustments or awkward situations.

🔒 Q: Will FSD technology become mandatory in the future?
A: The video's author suggests that FSD technology may become mandatory on all vehicles in the future, similar to seatbelts, airbags, and backup cameras.

Tesla Robo Taxi Platform

🚕 Q: Which Tesla models will be capable of becoming robo taxis?
A: Tesla's robo taxi platform will be available on any S3X or Y model with hardware 3 and 4 that can drive autonomously without a person in the driver's seat.

📈 Q: How many robo taxis does Tesla plan to deploy?
A: Tesla aims to deploy millions of robo taxis on the road in the next couple of years.

Challenges and Development

🧪 Q: What is a major challenge in validating Tesla's FSD?
A: Tesla is having trouble validating FSD vehicles due to the low frequency of interventions in real-world testing.

📊 Q: How much data is needed to achieve human-level safety for FSD?
A: Tesla's FSD system will require millions of miles of critical disengagement data to achieve the same level of safety as human drivers.

FSD Features and Capabilities

😴 Q: What will unsupervised FSD allow users to do?
A: Unsupervised FSD will allow users to sleep or text while their vehicle drives them to their destination.

🌍 Q: Is Tesla working on region-specific FSD parameters?
A: Tesla is working on parameters for different areas to enable FSD unsupervised, though it's not a requirement and would add value if implemented.

Autonomous Driving Progress

🚗 Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is expected to transition from supervised to unsupervised by the end of 2023, potentially allowing drivers to sleep or text while driving.

🌎 Tesla plans to deploy millions of robo taxis globally, starting with 10-20 in Austin, Texas in June 2025, using existing vehicles with hardware 3 and 4.

🛠️ The Cyber Cab, a dedicated robo taxi platform with no steering wheel or pedals, is designed solely for autonomous operation without human drivers.

FSD Implementation and Validation

🔍 Tesla's FSD unsupervised validation will involve millions of miles of public testing, with interventions reported through voice notes and report buttons.

🗺️ The FSD unsupervised launch will be implemented city by city, beginning in Austin, followed by California, and expanding to southern US cities without snow.

🎯 Tesla's validation challenge requires achieving millions of miles per critical intervention for full autonomy, as current 10,000-mile intervention rates are insufficient when scaled to millions of cars.

User Experience and Adoption

💤 Unsupervised FSD is defined as the car's ability to drive from A to B without human presence, allowing the occupant to sleep and wake up at the destination.

💰 Tesla is considering offering unsupervised FSD as an optional feature for an additional $1.99/month on top of the current $99/month supervised FSD subscription.

👨💻 Some Tesla owners experience multiple zero intervention drives per day, while others still need to assist with speed adjustments or avoiding other vehicles.

Future Implications

🚕 Any Tesla Model S, 3, X, or Y capable of autonomous driving without a person in the driver's seat will be considered a robo taxi.

📱 The robo taxi platform will utilize custom software in Tesla Model Y vehicles to initiate trips, display journey time, and provide destination information.

🔒 Unsupervised FSD may eventually become mandatory, similar to seat belts or airbags, as the technology proves its safety and reliability.

• 00:00 🚗 Elon Musk announced that unsupervised full self-driving for personal Teslas is expected by the end of this year, despite some safety concerns.
  • Elon Musk confirmed that unsupervised full self-driving for personal Tesla vehicles is expected to be available by the end of this year.
  • Safety-critical disengagements in Tesla's Full Self-Driving are rare, though there can be instances of premature decision-making, as experienced with the Cybertruck.
  • The speaker reflects on a situation where they had to take control of a Cybertruck to avoid a collision with a boat, despite mixed opinions online about the necessity of their intervention.
  • Tesla plans to launch paid autonomous rides in Austin by June 2025, starting with a small fleet of Model Ys, while currently using a supervised full self-driving system for testing.
• 03:15 🚗 Tesla's FSD technology is set to expand rapidly with unsupervised robo taxis confirmed by Elon Musk for Models S, 3, X, and Y, excluding the Cybertruck.
  • Tesla's FSD technology is poised to scale rapidly across cities due to its lower cost and higher volume compared to Whimo, which relies on detailed mapping and extensive planning.
  • Tesla's CyberCab is a product, while Robo Taxi refers to the driverless service that will transport passengers.
  • Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla's upcoming robo taxi will operate without a human driver, and while he mentioned Model S, 3, X, and Y for unsupervised full self-driving, he notably omitted the Cybertruck.
• 05:16 🚗 Tesla aims to enable unsupervised full self-driving for its fleet soon, despite current skepticism and the need for human oversight.
  • Tesla plans to enable the majority of its fleet to operate as robo taxis or personal chauffeurs, with current supervised full self-driving already demonstrating significant capabilities.
  • While some people are excited about Tesla's FSD capabilities, the speaker remains skeptical about its current effectiveness and prefers to assist the car to avoid awkward situations.
  • Elon Musk expresses confidence that Tesla's FSD will safely navigate without supervision in the future, while currently emphasizing the need for human oversight in certain driving scenarios.
  • Tesla is considering offering unsupervised full self-driving for a lower monthly fee, similar to how safety features like backup cameras became standard in vehicles.
• 08:20 🚗 Tesla aims to launch millions of robo taxis globally, starting in Austin, as autonomous vehicles show fewer and less severe crashes compared to human drivers.
  • Human error is the primary cause of road accidents, leading to significant consequences.
  • Autonomous vehicles are experiencing minimal crashes, and when they do occur, they result in less severe injuries due to earlier braking compared to human drivers.
  • Tesla plans to deploy millions of robo taxis in the coming years, starting in Austin and expanding globally, leveraging existing vehicles with hardware 3 and 4.
• 10:16 🚗 Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla's FSD aims to achieve superhuman driving capabilities with advanced sensors and neural networks, enhancing safety and performance across various environments, including in China.
  • Elon Musk mentioned that Tesla's FSD may utilize different driving parameters for various environments, which could enhance performance but are not mandatory.
  • Tesla aims to enhance its autonomous vehicles to be superhuman by utilizing advanced sensors and neural networks to improve safety in various driving conditions.
  • Tesla's reaction times will eventually surpass those of human drivers, despite currently being slower.
  • Tesla is confident in its ability to implement full self-driving in China despite data export restrictions, using a generalized approach to improve the system.
• 13:17 🚗 Tesla's FSD technology is making progress with 10,000 miles of testing in Austin, but must achieve significantly higher safety standards before widespread deployment.
  • Tesla is testing its FSD technology in Austin, achieving 10,000 miles without intervention, but faces challenges with validation.
  • Tesla struggles to validate its full self-driving cars for robo-taxi use due to frequent interventions needed across millions of miles driven.
  • FSD must be significantly safer than human drivers, potentially needing to be 1,000 to 10,000 times better, before widespread deployment is accepted despite the advantages of reduced crash rates.
• 16:04 🚗 Tesla plans to launch unsupervised full self-driving for personal cars in select areas by year-end, enabling drivers to sleep during their journeys while addressing safety and regulatory concerns.
  • Tesla aims to roll out unsupervised full self-driving for personal vehicles in select geographies by the end of the year, primarily starting in Austin and California.
  • Elon Musk confirmed that unsupervised full self-driving aims to allow drivers to fall asleep and wake up at their destination by the end of the year.
  • The possibility of allowing individuals who cannot drive, such as the blind or underage, to use fully autonomous Tesla vehicles raises questions about safety and regulatory requirements.
  • Tesla is addressing liability concerns and necessary software developments to enable unsupervised driving for their vehicles.
• 19:39 🚗 Tesla aims to launch its Full Self-Driving feature in select cities this year, leveraging its production capacity to scale faster than competitors.

WatchUrl: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-RWUvw9caU