Spreadsheet Wizard Breaks Down Tesla’s Shocking Q4 Numbers

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Spreadsheet Wizard Breaks Down Tesla’s Shocking Q4 Numbers

Tesla's Q4 earnings revealed challenges such as lower average selling prices and shrinking automotive gross margins, but also highlighted positive developments in cryptocurrency valuation and increased R&D spending, indicating a commitment to future growth and innovation

 

Questions to inspire discussion

Financial Performance

🔢 Q: How did Tesla's average selling prices (ASPs) change in Q4 2024?
A: Tesla's ASPs decreased significantly in Q4 2024, with customers paying less for Teslas than in previous periods.

💰 Q: What was Tesla's automotive gross margin in Q4 2024?
A: Tesla's automotive gross margin excluding regulatory credits fell to 13.3% in Q4 2024, with ASPs declining more than the cost of goods sold (COGS) per vehicle.

Research and Development

🧪 Q: How much did Tesla spend on R&D in Q4 2024?
A: Tesla's R&D spend reached an all-time high of $1.276 billion in Q4 2024, focusing on AI, full self-driving (FSD), and autonomous robots.

Future Outlook

🚗 Q: What improvements does Tesla expect in manufacturing for 2024 and beyond?
A: Tesla anticipates improved manufacturing efficiencies from the new Model Y in 2024 and beyond.

Competitive Position

📊 Q: How does Tesla's financial position compare to GM's in the EV market?
A: Tesla's retained earnings reached $35 billion and are growing, while GM reported a loss and declining retained earnings, highlighting Tesla's stronger financial position in the EV market.

Regulatory Environment

📜 Q: Will Tesla continue to benefit from regulatory credit sales in 2024?
A: Tesla's regulatory credit sales may continue in the US and other markets in 2024, as many automakers like Honda, Mazda, and Nissan are not yet producing enough EVs to comply with applicable laws and regulations.

 

Key Insights

Financial Performance

  1. 💰 Tesla's automotive gross margin excluding regulatory credits fell to 13%, down from 19% in Q3, despite decreasing cost of goods sold per vehicle, highlighting the impact of lower average selling prices.
  2. 📈 Tesla's retained earnings reached $35B and growing, contrasting with GM's reported loss, demonstrating Tesla's continued profitability and growth compared to traditional automakers.

Innovation and Future Focus

  1. 🔬 Tesla's R&D spending hit a record high of $1.276B, focusing on AI, FSD, and autonomous robots to drive future growth, despite being lower than competitors' investments.
  2. 🚗 The Model Y remains the top-selling vehicle in China, showcasing Tesla's strong market position and brand loyalty in the world's largest EV market despite increasing competition.

Regulatory and Accounting Impacts

  1. 🏷️ Tesla's regulatory credits may continue as competitors like Honda, Mazda, and Nissan struggle to produce enough EVs to comply with laws, potentially serving as a competitive advantage for Tesla.
  2. 💹 Tesla recorded a $589M gain from mark-to-market accounting on its Bitcoin holdings, illustrating the significant impact of changing accounting standards on financial statements.

 

#Tesla #Earnings #Q42024

XMentions: @Tesla @FutureAza @iCannot_Enough @HabitatsDigital

Clips

  • 00:00 📉 Tesla's Q4 earnings showed disappointing results with lower average selling prices and unpaid referral incentives, despite some positive developments.
    • Tesla's Q4 earnings revealed disappointing numbers, particularly lower average selling prices, despite some positive developments outside the financials.
    • Tesla is offering lower prices and fewer options for buyers, while referral incentives remain unpaid liabilities on the balance sheet.
  • 02:17 📊 Tesla's new accounting method enables quarterly valuation of cryptocurrency holdings, contrasting with Enron's revenue manipulation tactics.
    • Enron manipulated revenue by counting unfulfilled futures contracts as income.
    • Tesla's new accounting treatment allows for quarterly mark-to-market valuation of its cryptocurrency holdings, reflecting their fair market value at the end of each fiscal quarter.
  • 04:24 🚀 Tesla's Q4 saw a $589 million cash flow gain from Bitcoin adjustments and increased R&D spending on AI and FSD, signaling a commitment to future growth.
    • Tesla holds a significant amount of Bitcoin, but the exact figure was not provided during the discussion.
    • Tesla reported a $589 million gain in its cash flow statement, attributed to mark-to-market adjustments, while significantly increasing R&D investments to enhance AI and FSD capabilities, indicating a focus on future growth despite current expenses.
  • 06:51 📊 Tesla's R&D spending is expected to rise as they continue to enhance vehicle technology, while decreasing average selling prices and costs of goods sold may lead to improved manufacturing efficiencies in the coming quarters.
    • 08:36 📉 Tesla's automotive gross margin is shrinking from lower prices and reliance on credits, while Chinese firms tackle battery tech challenges.
      • Tesla's automotive gross margin is declining due to falling average selling prices and ongoing reliance on regulatory credits, while other automakers struggle to produce enough EVs to comply with regulations.
      • Chinese companies are addressing complex challenges in battery management systems and battery technology.
    • 11:20 📈 Tesla's retained earnings hit $35 billion, while GM's claims of EV profitability are questioned due to their misleading metrics.
      • Tesla's retained earnings have grown to about $35 billion, contrasting with GM's recent reported loss.
      • GM claims to be gross margin positive on EVs, but their metric, "positive variable margin," excludes production costs, raising skepticism about their profitability.
    • 13:39 🚗 Tesla's Model Y leads sales in China, while GM faces challenges with EV regulatory credits amid ownership concerns.
      • GM is selling regulatory credits but may not have enough EV credits to cover their needs, raising questions about the ownership of credits in transactions with Honda.
      • Tesla's Model Y is the top-selling vehicle in China, outperforming competitors despite price fluctuations.
    • 15:39 🤖 Exciting insights about Tesla's Q4 numbers and future prospects will be discussed, emphasizing the importance of community engagement and support for content creators.

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    Duration: 0:16:35

    Publication Date: 2025-02-04T12:48:00Z

    WatchUrl: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lSWUZQHyH9A

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