Tesla's rapid advancements in autonomy, particularly with the upcoming Cyber cab and robotaxi services, position the company as a leader in urban mobility and cost-effective transportation, despite competition and skepticism from investors
Questions to inspire discussion
Tesla's Autonomous Vehicle Progress
πQ: How advanced are Tesla's latest robotaxi prototypes?
A: Tesla's Cyber cab and robo van prototypes, unveiled in 2022, are fully autonomous vehicles with no steering wheel or pedals, currently operational in closed circuits as a significant step towards public road deployment.
πQ: What cost advantage could Tesla's robotaxi service have?
A: Tesla's robotaxi service could potentially operate at 20-40 cents per mile at scale, undercutting Uber and Lyft while maintaining high profit margins due to the absence of human drivers.
Data Collection and Autonomy Development
πQ: How does Tesla's data collection compare to competitors?
A: Tesla collects 5 million miles of data daily in FSD mode, vastly outpacing competitors like Whiz (70,000 miles), giving Tesla a significant advantage in developing full autonomy and handling corner cases.
Robotaxi Service Implementation
πQ: How will Tesla's robotaxi service be operated?
A: Tesla's robotaxi service will be owned and maintained by third parties, not Tesla itself, encouraging the formation of Tesla fleets and new business opportunities in the transportation sector.
πQ: What impact could Tesla's robotaxi service have on urban transportation?
A: According to Tasha Keeney, Tesla's robotaxi service could become the dominant form of transportation in urban areas within the next decade, offering greater convenience and lower costs than car ownership.
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Key Insights
Autonomous Vehicle Development
πTesla's Cyber cab and robo van prototypes, unveiled in 2022, are fully autonomous vehicles with no steering wheel or pedals, representing a significant step towards public road deployment.
π¬Tesla's massive data collection of 5 million miles per day in FSD mode, compared to competitors like Whiz's 70,000 miles, gives it a substantial advantage in developing full autonomy and handling corner cases.
Robotaxi Service Economics
π°Tesla's robotaxi service could potentially cost 20-40 cents per mile at scale, undercutting ride-hailing services while generating high profit margins due to the absence of human drivers.
πThe robotaxi service is projected to become the dominant form of urban transportation within the next decade, disrupting the traditional transportation industry.
Business Model and Design
π’Tesla's robotaxi service will be owned and maintained by third parties, not Tesla itself, encouraging the formation of Tesla fleets and new business opportunities.
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#Tesla
XMentions: @Tesla @stevenmarkryan @TashaArk @FutureAza @TeslaBoomerMama @HansCNelson @Farzyness @TashaArk @TonySeba @Adam_Dorr @CathyDWood
Clips
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00:00 π Ark Invest praises Tesla's rapid advancements in autonomy, including the upcoming Cyber cab and robotaxi, while noting the successful testing of a steering wheel-free vehicle.
- Ark Invest highlights significant advancements in Tesla's autonomy, including the introduction of the Cyber cab, robo van, and updates on the Optimus humanoid robot.
- Key insights about Tesla's future robotaxi launch were overlooked in the recent event discussions.
- Tesla is making significant advancements in autonomy, with expectations for a dedicated robotaxi and Cyber cab production within 12 to 15 months, driven by an enthusiastic team focused on feedback and innovation.
- Tesla's new vehicle, lacking a steering wheel and pedals, has successfully completed numerous incident-free trips in a closed circuit, highlighting significant advancements in their full self-driving technology despite public skepticism.
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03:26 π Tesla's rapid Cyber cab production and full autonomy in existing cars position it for a competitive Robo taxi service at 20 cents per mile, outpacing rivals like Uber.
- Tesla's rapid production of prototype Cyber cabs and advancements with Optimus highlight its manufacturing prowess, surpassing other startups.
- Tesla's existing cars demonstrate full autonomy in a controlled environment, indicating potential for the entire vehicle lineup.
- Tesla's Robo taxi service could cost around 20 cents per mile at scale, allowing for competitive pricing against Uber while maintaining high profit margins due to the absence of driver costs.
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06:07 π Tesla's autonomous robo-taxis are set to disrupt urban mobility and lower transportation costs, positioning the company as a leader despite early competition.
- Robo-taxis will significantly lower transportation costs, potentially disrupting personal car ownership and the existing ride-hailing market, leading to a massive shift in urban mobility over the next decade.
- Tesla is poised to lead in autonomous vehicle scaling, despite competitors like Waymo having launched services first.
- Passengers often become absorbed in their phones while one excited individual eagerly observes the surroundings.
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08:58 π Tesla's autonomy potential is seen as superior to Weo's limited service, despite criticisms of its camera-based system lacking lidar.
- Weo has launched an autonomous service in limited areas, but its high costs and lack of scalability may hinder its long-term success compared to Tesla's potential.
- Tesla's camera-based autonomy system is criticized for lacking sensors like lidar, but its effectiveness is debated, as more complex sensor suites, while potentially more accurate, still face challenges in real-world scenarios.
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10:50 π Tesla's unique manufacturing and sales model, combined with extensive data collection, positions it ahead of competitors in achieving full autonomy and efficiency.
- Tesla's direct manufacturing and sales model allows it to rapidly deploy vehicles for software training, unlike competitors that rely on partnerships and pre-mapping.
- Creating a compelling product that consumers willingly buy and help improve for free is a smarter business model than paying other companies to develop expensive solutions.
- Tesla's extensive data collection from millions of cars significantly outpaces competitors, enhancing their path to full autonomy and improving efficiency and manufacturing costs.
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14:00 π Cybercab's innovative door design enhances accessibility and safety while enabling autonomous pickups, eliminating the need for traditional parking.
- The design of the vehicle's doors is practical for easy access and storage, catering to diverse passenger needs.
- The vehicle's door design enhances accessibility for urban users while also looking visually appealing.
- Cyber autonomous vehicles will eliminate the need for traditional parking by allowing users to be dropped off and picked up directly at their destinations.
- The Cybercab's door design, with both horizontal and vertical movement, may allow for safer passenger pickups in tight spaces compared to traditional doors.
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18:00 π ARK Invest sees Tesla's autonomy potential justifying a $2,600 share price, emphasizing a strategy for third-party fleet ownership despite investor skepticism.
- Tesla's recent event was a product unveil rather than the data-heavy presentation that Wall Street expected.
- The complexity of launching a robo-taxi involves a comprehensive software system, and while more information is always desired, the current details suggest a strategy to encourage third parties to own and operate Tesla fleets.
- Despite skepticism from investors, ARK Invest believes Tesla's autonomy potential justifies a $2,600 per share valuation, far surpassing competitors like Uber.
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20:56 π Ark Invest is excited about Tesla's advancements in autonomy and the potential of the Cybercab.
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Duration: 0:22:44
Publication Date: 2024-10-17T09:26:42Z