Analyst ADMITS Collapse Underway, Tesla Winning Big

Tesla -

Analyst ADMITS Collapse Underway, Tesla Winning Big

Tesla is positioned for substantial stock growth and market leadership in the electric vehicle sector due to strong earnings, anticipated revenue from autonomy, and plans for lower-cost models, despite facing skepticism and competition

Questions to inspire discussion

Tesla's Financial Performance

πŸš—Q: How did Tesla's Q3 gross margins compare to estimates?

A: Tesla achieved exceptional gross margins of 17.7% in Q3, beating estimates by 1.63% and demonstrating a sustainable competitive advantage in electric vehicles.

πŸ’°Q: What profit margin does Tesla need for a sustainable EV business model?

A: Tesla's ability to make money producing EVs at a 20% margin is crucial for a sustainable business model, significantly outperforming competitors who are facing -50-100% losses.

Future Growth Drivers

πŸ€–Q: How will Tesla's autonomy focus impact its future profits?

A: Tesla's autonomy focus is expected to lead to 100-200%+ profit growth, potentially dwarfing its automotive business due to its unsurpassable lead in autonomy development.

πŸš•Q: What are Tesla's plans for robotaxis and how will they affect growth?

A: Tesla's robotaxi plans for 2024 and 2026 are anticipated to drive significant growth, contributing to a projected $1.5T market cap according to analyst AR Invest.

Market Outlook

πŸ“ˆQ: What factors will drive Tesla's stock performance in the near future?

A: Tesla's 2024 delivery growth, introduction of 2025 affordable models, and Q3 earnings beat indicate a potential stock turnaround, with gross margins trending up and expected to drive 3-4% EPS growth in 2024.

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Key Insights

Tesla's Financial Performance and Competitive Advantage

πŸš—Tesla's exceptional gross margins of 17.7% in Q3, beating estimates by 16.3%, demonstrate a sustainable competitive advantage in the electric vehicle market.

πŸ’°Tesla's ability to maintain 20%+ gross margins while competitors face -50-100% losses highlights its superior cost savings and pricing power in the EV industry.

Future Growth and Autonomy

πŸ€–Tesla's autonomy focus is projected to lead to 100-200%+ profit growth, potentially overshadowing its automotive business due to an unsurpassable lead in autonomy development.

πŸš•The company's robotaxi plans for 2024 and 2026 are expected to be significant growth drivers, contributing to a potential $1.5 trillion market cap.

Near-Term Outlook

πŸ“ˆTesla's Q3 earnings beat and anticipated 2024 delivery growth signal a potential stock turnaround, with analysts predicting 3-4% EPS growth in 2024.

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#Tesla

XMentions: @Tesla @stevenmarkryan @elonmuskΒ 

Clips

  • 00:00 πŸš€ Tesla's strong Q3 earnings and autonomy lead boost its price target from $254 to $278, despite analysts' undervaluation.
    • Analysts react to Tesla's strong Q3 earnings while humorously noting Elon Musk's gaming achievements amidst his busy schedule.
    • Tesla has an unassailable lead in autonomy, yet many analysts fail to recognize this, leading to undervalued assessments of the company.
    • Tesla's price target increased from $254 to $278 due to several positive catalysts.
  • 03:08 πŸš€ Tesla is poised for significant stock growth driven by strong margins, anticipated revenue from autonomy, and plans for lower-cost models and Robo taxis by 2026.
    • Tesla's recent exceptional margins and plans for lower-cost models suggest a potential 20-30% sales growth next year, indicating a re-acceleration in revenue and earnings that could positively impact its stock.
    • Tesla's stock is expected to surge significantly due to anticipated revenue and profit growth from autonomy, potentially outpacing its automotive business.
    • Tesla is expected to gain approval for Robo taxis and begin volume production of the dedicated cyber cab robotaxi by 2026, despite not dominating the market.
    • Tesla's stock is expected to continue outperforming due to significant margin improvements, with estimates suggesting margins could reach as high as 85%.
  • 06:20 ⚑ Tesla is thriving in the EV market with rising profits and efficiency, while competitors face major losses amid a global shift towards electric vehicles.
    • Tesla remains the only major company profiting from electric vehicle sales, despite challenges faced by competitors.
    • Tesla is gaining significant market advantage with improving margins and production efficiency, while competitors struggle with extreme losses.
    • The EV market is experiencing growth, particularly in China, where traditional vehicle sales are collapsing, indicating a shift towards electric vehicles globally.
  • 09:15 ⚑ Sales of traditional vehicles are plummeting in 2024 as electric vehicles thrive, with Tesla leading in electrification and autonomy despite potential future competition.
    • Sales of traditional internal combustion engine vehicles have collapsed in 2024, while electric vehicles are thriving, indicating a shift in the Western market, though Tesla may not maintain dominance in the future.
    • Tesla is focusing on electrification and autonomy, with production of the Cybertruck starting in 2026 and traditional vehicles achieving autonomy next year, while the overall market shows a decline in internal combustion engine sales.
    • Tesla's ability to maintain profitability and strong gross margins sets it apart from struggling Chinese competitors, who face unsustainable business models.
  • 11:54 πŸš€ Tesla's stock is set to rise towards $300 as delivery growth and improved margins, particularly in China, bolster a strong financial outlook.
    • Tesla's stock is expected to rise into the $300 range as gross margins improve and delivery growth continues, driven by advancements in autonomy and robotics.
    • Deliveries are expected to increase in China, with strong free cash flow of $2.74 billion exceeding expectations, signaling a positive outlook despite concerns from bears.
  • 13:35 πŸš— Tesla expects growth in vehicle deliveries and energy storage despite skepticism about autonomy, with future success tied to a sub-$30,000 vehicle and improved margins.
    • Despite challenging macroeconomic conditions, Tesla anticipates slight growth in vehicle deliveries and significant energy storage expansion, while skepticism remains about their timeline for autonomous vehicle production.
    • Tesla's growth hinges on achieving a sub-$30,000 vehicle and advancing autonomy, which could significantly outpace their current automotive business.
    • Despite some disappointment, the focus on growth margins and future vehicle developments indicates a strong vision for Tesla's success.
  • 15:50 πŸš— Tesla is set for major growth and margin improvements, outpacing struggling competitors, while its undervalued stock and potential robot taxi business could drive significant market cap increases.
    • Tesla is poised for a significant turnaround in growth and margins, contrasting with the struggles of competitors like GM amid changing EV demand.
    • Tesla's stock is undervalued as analysts doubt its goals, but the potential for a profitable robot taxi business could lead to significant market cap growth.Β 

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Duration: 0:19:46

Publication Date: 2024-10-27T07:06:32Z

WatchUrl: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=joWeBLzC2x4

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