Why I Am MUCH LESS Concerned About Tesla Robotaxi Now (Waymo Disasters)

Safety Statistics

🚗 Q: How do Waymo's crash statistics compare to human drivers?
A: Waymo's fatality rate of 0.43% of deployed vehicles is lower than the human fatality rate of 1.25%, suggesting Waymo robo taxis are safer than human drivers.

🔍 Q: What are the key crash statistics for Waymo robo taxis?
A: Waymo reported 696 physical crashes, 38 minor injuries, 6 moderate injuries, 3 serious injuries, and 3 human fatalities (including a dog) as of March 2024.

Safety Trends

📈 Q: How has Waymo's crash rate changed over time?
A: Waymo's crash rate increased 8x from 10 to 80 per deployed vehicle between 2024 and 2025, despite only a 2-6x increase in fleet size, indicating a potential decrease in safety.

Operational Insights

🤖 Q: What proportion of Waymo crashes involved fully autonomous vehicles?
A: 521 out of 696 crashes (74.9%) involved fully autonomous vehicles without safety operators, while 167 had an onboard safety operator and 5 had a remote operator.

Market Expansion

🌎 Q: How has Waymo's expansion affected its safety record?
A: Waymo's aggressive scaling into new markets like Georgia and Austin, in response to Tesla's growth, may be contributing to the higher crash rate beyond the increase in deployment rate.

Industry Implications

🚀 Q: How might Waymo's statistics impact Tesla's robo taxi rollout?
A: Waymo's crash statistics provide a precedent for Tesla's robo taxi safety, potentially reducing adoption risk if Tesla's numbers are not worse than Waymo's.

Safety and Accident Statistics

🚗 696 crashes occurred in Waymo accidents between 2024-2025, resulting in 38 minor injuries, 6 moderate injuries, 3 serious injuries, and 3 fatalities, including a dog killed in 2023 and a human fatality in 2025 not involving Waymo.

🔢 Waymo's crash rate increased 8x from 10 to 80 between 2024-2025, despite only a 2-6x increase in fleet size, suggesting a decrease in safety due to aggressive scaling.

🤖 Of the Waymo accidents, 521 had no remote operator, 167 had a safety operator inside the vehicle, and 5 had a remote operator.

Expansion and Competition

🏙️ Waymo's aggressive scaling into Georgia and Austin in response to Tesla's rapid progress in autonomy led to a dramatic increase in crash rate.

Public Perception and Precedent

📊 The statistics on Waymo accidents provide a precedent for robo taxi safety, allowing for comparison with Tesla's performance and mitigating the risk of massive FUD and speculation.

🚘 The first human fatality in a Waymo-related accident in 2025 was caused by a Tesla driver traveling at 98mph, not Waymo itself, potentially affecting public perception of autonomous vehicle safety.

• 00:00 🤖 The speaker is less concerned about Tesla Robotaxi due to mitigated risks of FSD not working, after analyzing Waymo's incidents.
  • The speaker is analyzing Waymo's incidents to discuss their implications for Tesla's robotaxi, framing it as crucial for Tesla's transformation into an AI company driven by autonomous transport.
  • The speaker is much less concerned about Tesla Robotaxi because the biggest risk, FSD not working, is becoming mitigated.
• 01:40 🤖 Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is surprisingly effective, beating Waymo in smoothness and situational understanding, making accidents and public reaction to them a more pressing concern.
• 03:03 🤖 Waymo's 696 physical crashes, despite safety drivers, make Tesla Robotaxi less concerning.
  • The creator mentions a company with around 1,800 cars on the road currently.
  • Waymo, a self-driving car company, has been involved in 696 physical crashes, with some being their fault and others' fault undeterminable, despite having safety drivers and manual mapping.
• 04:52 🤔 Waymo's accident rate and aggressive expansion raise concerns, potentially due to Tesla competition.
  • Waymo's accident rate appears to be much lower than it would be if scaled with its actual fleet size, suggesting potential issues with reported data.
  • Waymo's aggressive expansion and potential panic due to Tesla's competition may be causing a significant increase in crash rates, outpacing their deployment growth.
• 06:45 🚗 Waymo's self-driving car accidents, including injuries and fatalities, make speaker less concerned about Tesla's robotaxi.
  • Waymo's self-driving car was involved in accidents with injuries and fatalities, but in at least one case, the fault clearly belonged to a human driver, specifically a Tesla driver traveling at 98 miles per hour.
  • The speaker is less concerned about Tesla's robotaxi after seeing Waymo's disasters.
• 09:03 🚗 Waymo's robo-taxis have been involved in numerous accidents, with most occurring at low speeds and many lacking a remote operator.
• 10:24 🚗 Tesla's robotaxi prospects remain promising despite accidents, as long as its safety statistics are comparable to those of competitors like Waymo.
• 11:52 🚗 The crash risk of Tesla Robotaxi is mitigated with available statistics and data, reducing the perceived risk.

WatchUrl: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsRm5bdcXak