Elon Musk Admits Tesla Could Hit $20 Trillion, Robotaxi Skeptics Still In Denial

FSD, Robotaxi, Tesla -

Elon Musk Admits Tesla Could Hit $20 Trillion, Robotaxi Skeptics Still In Denial

Elon Musk believes Tesla could reach a $20 trillion valuation if its autonomous ventures, including robo-taxi and humanoid robots, are successfully scaled, driven by advancements in its Full Self-Driving technology

Questions to inspire discussion

Autonomous Driving Progress

πŸš— Q: How is Tesla's robotaxi service progressing in Austin?
A: Tesla's robotaxi service in Austin has 11 vehicles with safety observers in the passenger seat, operating to collect data for regulatory approval.

🌎 Q: Where has Tesla's FSD supervised system demonstrated autonomous driving?
A: Tesla's FSD supervised vehicles have operated autonomously in Sydney, Amsterdam, Paris, and London with zero interventions, showcasing a generalized vision-only solution.

Vehicle Safety and Innovation

πŸ›» Q: How did the Cybertruck perform in safety tests?
A: The Cybertruck received a 5-star rating from NITSA, achieving theΒ lowest overall probability of injury and lowest chance of rollover ever for a tested pickup truck.

πŸ€– Q: What role do humanoid robots play in Tesla's future valuation?
A: Tesla's humanoid robots at massive scale are considered a key factor in reaching a potential $20 trillion valuation, according to Elon Musk's modeled scenarios.

Expansion of Autonomous Services

πŸš• Q: What are Tesla's plans for robotaxi service in San Francisco?
A: Tesla plans to launch a robotaxi service in San Francisco this weekend, with drivers in the driver's seat to collect data for regulatory approval.

πŸ“Š Q: How quickly is Tesla expanding its robotaxi service in Austin?
A: Tesla's autonomous vehicles have collected thousands of intervention-free drives in Austin, with robotaxis expanding their service area in less than 3 weeks after launch.

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Key Insights

Autonomous Driving Progress

  1. πŸš—Β 

    Tesla's robotaxi service in Austin has expanded its area within 3 weeks of launch, achieving thousands of intervention-free drives and potentially expanding to San Francisco soon.

  2. 🌎 

    Tesla's FSD supervised system has operated successfully without interventions in Sydney, Amsterdam, Paris, and London, demonstrating a generalized autonomy solution using vision-only technology.

Business Potential

  1. πŸ€– Humanoid robots at scale could drive Tesla to a $20 trillion valuation over the next decade, though extreme execution is required.
  2. πŸš™ Tesla'sΒ Cybertruck received a 5-star NHTSA rating with the lowest overall injury probability and rollover chance for any tested pickup truck.

Future Developments

  1. 🧠 Tesla's XAI investment proposal will be voted on by shareholders, with the company inviting the first properly submitted shareholder to attend in person.
  2. πŸš• Tesla's robotaxi service currently uses aΒ safety observer but plans to remove this soon, with enough vehicles to potentially service over half the US population if software capabilities are proven.

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#Vehicles #Tesla

XMentions: @Tesla @HabitatsDigital @StevenMarkRyan

Clips

  • 00:00 πŸš€ Elon Musk claims Tesla could hit a $20 trillion valuation if it successfully scales its robo-taxi and humanoid robot ventures, backed by strong evidence of its Full Self-Driving technology.
    • Elon Musk believes Tesla's valuation could reach $20 trillion with successful scaling of its robo-taxi and humanoid robot businesses, requiring "extreme execution".
    • Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology, achieved with vision only, has amassed overwhelming evidence of its effectiveness, demonstrated through various videos from around the world.
  • 02:05 πŸš— Tesla claims to have solved autonomy, potentially leading to a $20 trillion valuation as demonstrated by its vehicle navigating complex London roads effortlessly.
    • Tesla has solved autonomy with a generalized solution that will scale rapidly and widely, potentially achieving significant success, such as a $20 trillion valuation.
    • Tesla's vehicle navigated through challenging London roads with roadworks and lane closures without any interventions, handling it exceptionally well.
  • 03:47 πŸš€ Elon Musk and analysts assert Tesla's strong position in multiple sectors, with the Cybertruck's safety features challenging skeptics and suggesting a potential $20 trillion valuation.
    • Brett Winton is praised for directly stating facts, contrasting with Kathy Wood's more reserved approach.
    • Tesla Cybertruck's safety features, including a five-star rating and low probability of injury, proved critics wrong who claimed it would not be safe due to lack of a crumple zone.
    • Elon Musk and Morgan Stanley analysts believe Tesla is exceptionally well-positioned in data, robotics, energy, AI, manufacturing, and infrastructure, making it a highly promising investment opportunity.
  • 06:28 πŸš— Elon Musk hints at Tesla's potential robotaxi service, competing with Uber, and rapid expansion could scale quickly.
    • Elon Musk suggests Tesla's rapid expansion of robo-taxi services, potentially launching in San Francisco, implies a generalized solution to autonomy that could scale quickly and compete with Uber.
    • Tesla is planning to expedite regulatory approval for a potential robotaxi service, possibly with a driver in the seat, as referenced in a Business Insider report based on an internal memo.
  • 08:12 πŸ€– Elon Musk hints at Tesla's potential for autonomous vehicle operation, starting with data collection from monitored drivers to eventually remove human intervention.
    • Tesla can collect data to prove safe autonomous vehicle operation by first using drivers who monitor but don't intervene, then removing the driver from the driver's seat.
    • Tesla currently only has a permit to operate a charter service with human drivers, not a permit for autonomous car services.
  • 09:35 πŸš— Tesla's "robo taxi" service isn't fully autonomous yet, needing a safety observer, but its vehicles demonstrate significant capability in transporting people autonomously.
    • Tesla's current "robo taxi" service is not truly autonomous, as it requires a safety observer, typically a Tesla employee, to sit in the front passenger seat.
    • The definition of a driverless vehicle is debatable, but what matters is the vehicle's capability to autonomously transport people, which Tesla's vehicles have shown to be successful.
  • 11:38 πŸ€– Elon Musk hints Tesla is close to making Robotaxi a reality with thousands of intervention-free drives already happening.
    • Focus on the software's capabilities, not external factors like human supervision or arbitrary autonomy classifications, to evaluate its performance.
    • Tesla is effectively operating robo-taxis in Austin, Texas, with human supervision in the passenger seat, which will eventually be removed as data is collected to gain regulatory approval.
    • Tesla is technically close to making Robotaxi a reality, with thousands of intervention-free drives already occurring in Austin and plans to expand to San Francisco.

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Duration: 0:14:47

Publication Date: 2025-07-26T11:14:35Z

WatchUrl: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_HLdMWqkkg

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