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David Shapiro

Surely, it is worth taking a few moments to reflect on the claim from OpenAI that we’ve reached ‘human-level reasoning’ in their o1 series of AI models? I scrutinize Altman’s dev day comments (picking out 4 highlights) and cover the most recent papers and analysis of o1’s capabilities. Then, what the colossal new valuation means for OpenAI and the context you might not has realized. We’ll look further down the ‘Levels of AGI’ chart, cover a NotebookLM update, and end with a powerful question over whether we should, ultimately, be aiming to automate OpenAI. Assembly AI Speech to Text: https://www.assemblyai.com/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=influencer&utm_campaign=ai_explained https://www.assemblyai.com/blog/ald-improvements/ AI Insiders: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Chapters: 00:00 – Introduction 00:52 – Human-level Problem Solvers? 03:22 – Very Steep Progress + Huge Gap Coming 04:23 – Scientists React 05:44 – SciCode 06:55 – Benchmarks Harder to Make + Mensa 07:30 – Agents 08:36 – For-profit and Funding Blocker 09:45 – AGI Clause + Microsoft Definition 11:23 – Gates Shift 12:43 – NotebookLM Update + Assembly 14:11 – Automating OpenAI Reuters Funding-block Exclusive: https://www.reuters.com/technology/openai-tells-investor-not-invest-five-ai-startups-including-sutskevers-ssi-2024-10-02/?s=09 OpenAI Scaling AGI: https://openai.com/index/scale-the-benefits-of-ai/ NYT Revenue Story: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/27/technology/openai-chatgpt-investors-funding.html For Profit Move: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/how-openai-cfo-sarah-friar-is-keeping-startup-flush-with-cash?utm_campaign=Editorial&utm_content=Article&utm_medium=organic_social&utm_source=twitter&rc=sy0ihq Bloomberg Levels Chart: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-11/openai-sets-levels-to-track-progress-toward-superintelligent-ai?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email Scientists React, in Nature: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03169-9 Math prof: https://x.com/robertghrist/status/1841462507543949581?t=5zV3VpQI0mbrSU9_QRtfkQ&s=19 AGI Clause: https://openai.com/our-structure/ Microsoft Sci-fi: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/bing/do-more-with-ai/artificial-general-intelligence?form=MA13KP Mensa Tweet: https://x.com/JgaltTweets/status/1836093456831402481 Sci-Code: https://x.com/OfirPress/status/1841509950679396387 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2407.13168 FT Agentic Systems 2025: https://www.ft.com/content/30677465-33bb-4f74-a8e6-239980091f7a https://the-decoder.com/bill-gates-does-not-expect-gpt-5-to-be-much-better-than-gpt-4/ Bill Gates Turnaround: https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1839915272179986905 OpenAI Preparedness Framework: https://cdn.openai.com/openai-preparedness-framework-beta.pdf https://openai.com/global-affairs/openai-s-comment-to-the-ntia-on-open-model-weights/ NotebookLM: https://notebooklm.google/ https://x.com/stevenbjohnson/status/1839352311732391990 My Coursera Course - The 8 Most Controversial Terms in AI: https://imp.i384100.net/m57g3M Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ I use Descript to edit my videos (no pauses or filler words!): https://get.descript.com/ldgxfuj2bhnb Many people expense AI Insiders for work. Feel free to use the Template in the 'About Section' of my Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

AI Explained

❤️ Check out Lambda here and sign up for their GPU Cloud: https://lambdalabs.com/papers Unreal Engine + 5.5 preview: https://www.unrealengine.com/en-US https://forums.unrealengine.com/t/unreal-engine-5-5-preview/2048423 📝 My paper on simulations that look almost like reality is available for free here: https://rdcu.be/cWPfD Or this is the orig. Nature Physics link with clickable citations: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-022-01788-5 🙏 We would like to thank our generous Patreon supporters who make Two Minute Papers possible: Alex Balfanz, Alex Haro, B Shang, Benji Rabhan, Gaston Ingaramo, Gordon Child, John Le, Juan Benet, Kyle Davis, Loyal Alchemist, Lukas Biewald, Martin, Michael Albrecht, Michael Tedder, Owen Skarpness, Richard Sundvall, Taras Bobrovytsky,, Thomas Krcmar, Tybie Fitzhugh, Ueli Gallizzi. If you wish to appear here or pick up other perks, click here: https://www.patreon.com/TwoMinutePapers My research: https://cg.tuwien.ac.at/~zsolnai/ X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/twominutepapers Thumbnail design: Felícia Zsolnai-Fehér - http://felicia.hu

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