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Over The Horizon

Sergey Levine is one of the world’s top robotics researchers and co-founder of Physical Intelligence. He thinks we’re on the cusp of a “self-improvement flywheel” for general-purpose robots. His median estimate for when robots will be able to run households entirely autonomously? 2030. If Sergey’s right, the world 5 years from now will be an *insanely* different place than it is today. This conversation focuses on understanding how we get there: we dive into foundation models for robotics, and how we scale both the data and the hardware necessary to enable a full-blown robotics explosion. 𝐄𝐏𝐈𝐒𝐎𝐃𝐄 𝐋𝐈𝐍𝐊𝐒 * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sergey-levine * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fully-autonomous-robots-are-much-closer-than-you-think/id1516093381?i=1000726524050 * Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/1WpOKLN3vSvvWjrVDIJAyy?si=DPxf6K5BSBy5R4OYIqk8pQ 𝐒𝐏𝐎𝐍𝐒𝐎𝐑𝐒 * Labelbox provides high-quality robotics training data across a wide range of platforms and tasks. From simple object handling to complex workflows, Labelbox can get you the data you need to scale your robotics research. Learn more at https://labelbox.com/dwarkesh * Hudson River Trading uses cutting-edge ML and terabytes of historical market data to predict future prices. I got to try my hand at this fascinating prediction problem with help from one of HRT’s senior researchers. If you’re curious about how it all works, go to https://hudson-trading.com/dwarkesh * Gemini 2.5 Flash Image (aka nano banana) isn’t just for generating fun images — it’s also a powerful tool for restoring old photos and digitizing documents. Test it yourself in the Gemini App or in Google’s AI Studio: https://ai.studio/banana To sponsor a future episode, visit https://dwarkesh.com/advertise 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒 (00:00:00) – Timeline to widely deployed autonomous robots (00:17:25) – Why robotics will scale faster than self-driving cars (00:27:28) – How vision-language-action models work (00:45:37) – Changes needed for brainlike efficiency in robots (00:57:59) – Learning from simulation (01:09:18) – How much will robots speed up AI buildouts? (01:18:01) – If hardware’s the bottleneck, does China win by default?

Dwarkesh Patel

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Robert Greene reveals The Real Reason So Many People Are Stupid. Want to watch more? Click here: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLM6CuLf0-OkSToV1jG3hsX5-Gj-Q69fRg&si=X8I5i_pRshiBsAhJ For full video visit: https://www.youtube.com/@ChrisWillx/videos or visit their great channel https://www.youtube.com/ChrisWillx Robert Greene is an American author of books on strategy, power, and seduction. He has written seven international bestsellers, including The 48 Laws of Power, The Art of Seduction, The 33 Strategies of War, The 50th Law (with rapper 50 Cent), Mastery, The Laws of Human Nature, and The Daily Laws. ---------------------------------------------------------- Discover why overconfidence is more dangerous than evil. In this video, Robert Greene breaks down how blind certainty can destroy reputations, fuel conflicts, and hold you back in life. Learn the secrets of power, reputation, and embracing your uniqueness to stand out and succeed. ---------------------------------------------------------- Subscribe for more great content! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCZT3MTncrBJVQ4m1B1M4C-Q ---------------------------------------------------------- Fair Use Disclaimer Copyright disclaimer under section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for "fair use" for purposes such as criticism, commenting, news reporting, teaching, scholarship and research. Fair use is a use permitted by copyright statute that might otherwise be infringing. Non-profit, educational or personal use tips the balance in favor of fair use. Please contact me for any issues with this video, thanks ---------------------------------------------------------- #robertgreene ---------------------------------------------------------- Credit: Opus One by Audionautix is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/