"It Feels Like Apple Is Trying To Lose" - Gavin Baker

Apple -

"It Feels Like Apple Is Trying To Lose" - Gavin Baker

Apple's prioritization of shareholder value through massive share buybacks over investing in innovation and R&D may be a strategic misstep that could hinder its future success and allow competitors to gain an edge, particularly in emerging markets like AI

 

Questions to inspire discussion

Innovation and Investment

🔬 Q: How could Apple's buyback program have been used differently?
A: A: Apple's $700 billion share buyback over the past decade could have been invested in R&D to develop innovative products like a car, potentially yielding greater long-term value.

🤖 Q: What is Apple's current stance on AI development?
A: Apple's inaction in AI is notable, with Siri's performance declining over time, indicating a lack of focus on this crucial technology sector.

Product Development and Market Strategy

🕶️ Q: What potential does Apple have in AR technology?
A: Apple's AR glasses, when combined with AI, could offer features like instant information retrieval about landmarks, but recent keynotes have lacked mentions of Apple Vision or AR developments.

🚗 Q: How could Apple capitalize on the electric vehicle market?
A: By 2030, controlling the flexible distributed power of 30 million electric vehicles with 80-100 kWh batteries and autonomy could be a lucrative opportunity for Apple in the smart home market.

Corporate Culture and Innovation

🍎 Q: What criticism does Apple face regarding its innovation pipeline?
A: Apple's inability to innovate and lack of execution on AI and AR products is concerning, with some products reportedly getting worse over time, suggesting a need for renewed focus on innovation.

⚙️ Q: How has Apple's focus shifted under Tim Cook's leadership?
A: Apple's current focus on supply chain management under Tim Cook appears misaligned with their mandate to innovate, potentially hindering the development and release of exciting new products.

 

Key Insights

Apple's AI Strategy and Innovation

  1. 🍎 Apple's $700 billion share buyback over the past decade could have been partially redirected to invest $200 billion in data centers and AI research, potentially making them a real competitor in AI.
  2. 🤖 Investor Gavin Baker criticizes Apple's "inaction and ineptitude" in AI, citing Siri's deteriorating performance as evidence that the company seems to be "trying to lose" in this crucial tech domain.

Future Tech and Market Opportunities

  1. 👓 Apple's upcoming AR glasses, when combined with AI, could offer revolutionary features like instantly accessing information about monuments by simply looking at them.
  2. 🚗 The control and management of 30 million electric vehicles' distributed power by 2030 represents a significant financial opportunity for tech companies.

Apple's Business Strategy

  1. 💰 Apple's share buyback program, approaching $1 trillion, exceeds the market cap of all but 12 companies in the S&P 500, highlighting the company's massive financial operations.
  2. 🏗️  Despite concerns about lack of innovation, Apple has built a unique corporate system that sets it apart in business history, according to investor Gavin Baker.

 

#AllInPodcast #Apple

XMentions: @theallinpod @HabitatsDigital @chamath @friedberg @Jason @DavidSacks @GavinSBaker

Clips

  • 00:00 💸 Apple's $700 billion share buyback over the past decade exceeds the market cap of all but 12 S&P 500 companies, sparking criticism that the tech giant is prioritizing shareholder value over innovation.
    • 01:21 💸 Apple's strategy of prioritizing buybacks over investing in R&D and releasing innovative products, like a potential car through Project Titan, may be a misstep that allows competitors to gain an edge in emerging markets like AI.
      • 02:31 🤯 Apple's inaction and incompetence in AI has led to terrible products, making it seem like they're intentionally trying to lose.
        • 03:14 💻 Apple's focus on optimizing supply chain under Tim Cook's leadership has led to a lack of exciting new products, sparking concerns about the company's future.
          • 04:07 💻 Apple's focus on augmented reality seems to be overshadowed by their lack of recent updates or demos, sparking concerns they're neglecting this area.
            • 04:51 💻 Apple's critics have been prematurely writing off the company for decades, but it continues to prove them wrong and has the talent and system in place to succeed, if it chooses to innovate.
              • 05:56 📱 Apple's Vision product seems cumbersome compared to Meta's Ray-Bands, which offer a more elegant and practical experience, especially for families with kids.
                • 06:50 💻 Apple can make significant money by leveraging its smart home ecosystem and electric vehicle management systems.
                  • Apple could leverage its smart home ecosystem by integrating with emerging infrastructure for controlling and aggregating home energy systems, such as smart panels and circuit breakers.
                  • Whoever controls the management and operating system of a large fleet of electric vehicles, potentially providing flexible distributed power, will make a significant amount of money.

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                Duration: 0:8:55

                Publication Date: 2025-08-18T09:30:31Z

                WatchUrl: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jPlR69J1djs

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