Disruption of Transportation Past, Present & Future with Tony Seba

Abundance, AutoMobility, RethinkX, Tony Seba -

Disruption of Transportation Past, Present & Future with Tony Seba

Tesla's autopilot technology and the increasing affordability of electric vehicles are set to revolutionize the transportation industry, making transportation as a service cheaper and safer, and leading to a significant drop in oil demand and potential geopolitical implications 

Questions to inspire discussion

  • How safe is Tesla's autopilot technology?

    Tesla's autopilot technology is already nine times safer than the average American driver, and it is predicted to be 10 times safer by 2022, potentially saving 900,000 lives globally every year.

  • Will electric vehicles become more affordable?

    Yes, electric vehicles are becoming more affordable and accessible at a faster rate than predicted, with the market offering a 200+ mile electric vehicle for less than $10,000 by 2025.

  • What are the benefits of electric vehicles?

    Electric vehicles are superior to internal combustion engine automobiles, cheaper on a per mile basis, and can power homes during outages.

  • What is the future of autonomous technology in transportation?

    Phase two of transportation disruption is coming with the approval of level four autonomous technology, and it is predicted to lead to the disruption of transportation as a service.

  • How will transportation as a service change in the future?

    Fleets of autonomous and electric vehicles will make transportation as a service 10 times cheaper than individually owned cars, leading to the eventual disappearance of individually owned cars. 

 

Key Insights

  • 🚗 According to Tesla, cars with autopilot are almost nine times safer than the average American driver, potentially saving 900,000 lives globally every year.
  • 🔋 EVs and EV powertrains can last 500,000 miles, compared to gasoline vehicles that only last 140,000 miles, making them a more durable and cost-effective option for fleets.
  • ⚡ EVs are already cheaper than internal combustion engine automobiles on a per mile basis, making them a more cost-effective option for fleets and individuals.
  • 📈 The capability improvement rates for autopilot technology are predicted to be 10 times safer than the average American driver by 2022, driven by exponential improvements in computing power.
  • 🚗 The idea of individually owned cars is essentially going to go away as Transport as a service becomes 10 times cheaper than owning a car.
  • 💰 The cost per mile of Transport as a Service will be cheaper than just the cost of gasoline on a per mile basis.
  • 💰 By 2030, 95% of Passenger miles will be electric, and the implications for the oil industry are stunning.
  • 🔮 The prediction of hitting peak demand for oil around 2020 and its impact on global geopolitics.

 

 

#Abundance #Mobility

XMentions: @HabitatsDigital @TonySeba @RethinkX @Adam_Dorr

 

Clips

  • 00:00 🚗 Tesla's autopilot technology is significantly safer than human drivers and could save 900,000 lives annually, while the cost of 200+ mile electric vehicles is dropping rapidly, making them more affordable and accessible.
    • Tesla's autopilot technology is nine times safer than the average American driver, and if everyone drove a car with autopilot, it could save 900,000 lives globally every year, with the cost of 200 plus mile electric vehicles dropping exponentially.
    • Electric vehicles are becoming more affordable and accessible at a faster rate than predicted, with the market offering a 200+ mile electric vehicle for less than $10,000 by 2025.
  • 03:43 🚗 Electric vehicles are disrupting the transportation industry, with EVs lasting longer and being more cost-effective for fleets.
    • 05:54 🚗 Electric vehicles are cheaper and can power homes, and the approval of level four autonomous technology will lead to market domination by one company.
      • Electric vehicles are superior to internal combustion engine automobiles, cheaper on a per mile basis, and can power homes during outages.
      • Phase two of transportation disruption is coming with the approval of level four autonomous technology, and all it takes is one company to be ready and approved by regulators to dominate the market.
    • 08:34 🚗 Tesla's autopilot technology is predicted to be 10 times safer by 2022, potentially saving 900,000 lives globally every year, and supercomputing power and AI are improving exponentially.
      • Tesla's autopilot technology is already almost nine times safer than the average American driver, and with exponential improvements, it is predicted to be 10 times safer by 2022, potentially saving 900,000 lives globally every year.
      • Supercomputing power has improved exponentially in cost and capability, with a 650,000 times improvement in just 16 years, and AI is improving double exponentially.
    • 11:12 🚗 Fleets of autonomous and electric vehicles will make transportation as a service 10 times cheaper than individually owned cars, leading to the eventual disappearance of individually owned cars.
      • AI is rapidly improving and will change art creation, and level four autonomy in transportation will be achieved in the next few years, leading to the disruption of transportation as a service.
      • Fleets of autonomous and electric vehicles will make transportation as a service 10 times cheaper than individually owned cars, leading to the eventual disappearance of individually owned cars.
    • 13:59 🚗 The cost per mile of transportation as a service will be cheaper than just the cost of gasoline.
      • 16:10 🚗 By 2030, 95% of passenger miles will be electric, leading to a drop in oil demand and potential geopolitical implications.
        • 18:15 🚀 Peak oil demand in 2020 led to concerns about Russia's aggression in the early 2020s.

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          Duration: 0:19:0

          Publication Date: 2024-07-06T12:34:09Z

          WatchUrl:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sofubJj9Fsw

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