Silicon Valley will make oil, nuclear, natural gas, coal, electric utilities, and conventional gas cars obsolete by 2030, leading to the greatest explosion in wealth in history by 2050
Questions to inspire discussion
-
What industries will become obsolete by 2030?
—Oil, nuclear, natural gas, coal, electric utilities, and conventional gas cars will become obsolete by 2030 due to disruptive technology.
-
What will happen to mass market vehicles by 2030?
—All mass market vehicles will be electric and autonomous by 2030, leading to an 80% shrinkage in the new car market and potential bankruptcy for struggling legacy automakers.
-
What will happen to individual car ownership in major cities?
—The concept of individual car ownership will be obsolete in major cities, leading to a disruption in the car insurance industry.
-
What will be the new energy sources by 2030?
—All new energy by 2030 will be provided by solar, wind, and batteries, leading to the end of centralized energy sources.
-
What will happen to the dairy industry by 2025?
—The dairy industry will collapse by 2025 due to the economic efficiency of precision fermentation, which is 100 times more resource efficient than livestock and can be made anywhere with minimal resources.
Key Insights
Disruption in Energy and Transportation
- 🔮 Tony Seba predicts that Silicon Valley will make oil, nuclear, natural gas, coal, electric utilities, and conventional gas cars obsolete by 2030.
- 🌍 By 2050, the Industrial Age will be over, leading to the greatest explosion in wealth in history.
- 🌍 The new car market will shrink by 80% worldwide, causing a total revolution in the automotive industry.
- 🌍 "The era of centralized command and control extraction resource-based energy sources oil gas coal and nuclear will not end because we ran out of petroleum natural gas coal or uranium. It will end because those energy sources the business models they employ and the products they sustain will be disrupted by Superior Technologies."
- 🌍 This will be the greatest Revolution we've ever seen. It's going to happen fast and if you're not prepared for it well you're in trouble.
- 🌍 The next 15-20 years are going to be the most disruptive in history, with changes happening in all levels all around the world all at once.
- 🌍 The greatest disruption in history is here, millions of jobs to disappear.
- 🚀 The rupture point for electric vehicles happened round about 2020 and essentially after that we enter into a phase change.
- 🚗 The car was not just a faster horse, it enabled the biggest disruption at all levels in transportation, energy, and society.
- 🌞 Solar energy is the cheapest source of energy on the planet, and it's only going to get cheaper.
- 🔋 The transformation to 100% solar, wind, and battery system will not be a one-to-one substitution, but a dramatically different system.
Impact of Technological Advancements
- 💰 Tony Seba accurately predicted the cost curve of lithium ion batteries, proving that technology cost curves are like gravity.
- 🤖 AI is improving at a crazy, double exponential basis, with the CEO of Nvidia stating that it's improving at the rate of about 1 million times over the next 10 years.
#Disruption #Abundance
XMentions: @TheEVKing @HabitatsDigital @TonySeba @Adam_Dorr @SalimIsmail @PeterDiamandis
Clips
-
00:00 🚀 Silicon Valley will make traditional energy and transportation obsolete by 2030, leading to a wealth explosion but also causing the loss of millions of jobs, so invest now and prepare for retraining.
- Tony Seba predicts that Silicon Valley will make oil, nuclear, natural gas, coal, electric utilities, and conventional gas cars obsolete by 2030, and this information is crucial for policy advisers and leaders to understand the future of energy and transportation.
- Invest now in the right businesses for potentially high returns as the Industrial Age will be over by 2050, leading to the greatest wealth explosion in history but also causing the loss of millions of jobs.
- Exponentially improving technology such as solar, electric vehicles, batteries, and autonomous self-driving cars will disrupt and sweep away the energy and transportation industries, leading to job loss and the need for retraining, with all new energy by 2030 being provided by solar, wind, and batteries.
-
03:11 🚗 Mass market vehicles will be electric and autonomous by 2030, leading to a major disruption in the car industry and potential bankruptcy for legacy automakers, while also causing the end of centralized energy sources and potentially billions of job losses.
- All mass market vehicles will be electric and autonomous by 2030, leading to an 80% shrinkage in the new car market and potential bankruptcy for struggling legacy automakers.
- Nuclear power is obsolete based on price, with up to 80% of highways and parking spaces becoming redundant, and the concept of individual car ownership will be obsolete in major cities.
- Car ownership will become much cheaper and less desirable as transportation options become more accessible, leading to a disruption in the car insurance industry.
- Disruptive technology will lead to the end of centralized energy sources, creating abundant and cheap electricity but also causing the loss of potentially billions of jobs.
- The upcoming revolution will happen quickly and those who are not prepared will be in trouble, and Tony Seba's information is crucial for everyone to know.
-
08:02 💡 Rapid phase change disruptions will lead to the disappearance of millions of jobs, but those who understand and adapt will thrive and bring society into a new age of freedom.
- The rapid phase change disruptions happening in various sectors will lead to the disappearance of millions of jobs, but those who understand and adapt to these changes will be able to thrive and bring society into a new age of freedom.
- The next 15-20 years will bring the most disruptive and transformative changes in history, affecting all levels of society globally.
- Technological advancements are leading to major disruptions in various industries, particularly in electric power, and it is important to pay attention to the convergence of these technologies for significant changes to occur.
- Convergence creates opportunities for entrepreneurs, leading to a phase change and disruption in the system, with old rules no longer applying and a new system emerging.
-
13:35 🔥 The cost curves of technology will disrupt industries and jobs in the next 15 years, as convergence of technologies leads to rapid and major disruptions, often unnoticed by smart people and companies due to their linear mindset, creating completely new systems with new rules and behaviors.
- The cost curves of technology, such as lithium ion batteries, are anticipated to disrupt industries and jobs in the next 15 years.
- Convergence of technologies leads to major disruptions, with incumbents often not seeing it coming, and key technologies have been teeing up for the last 10-15 years.
- Disruptions happen rapidly and smart people and companies often fail to see the next disruption due to their linear mindset.
- The concept of phase change disruptions involves the creation of a completely new system with new rules and behaviors, rather than just a faster version of the old system.
-
19:34 🚗 The disruption of transportation, specifically electric vehicles, is predicted to drastically change the industry by 2023, leading to the potential disappearance of millions of jobs by 2030.
- The car revolutionized the 20th century, and the disruption of transportation, specifically electric vehicles, is predicted to drastically change the industry by 2023.
- Market forces will bring down the cost of electric vehicles, with the Chinese auto market already seeing a significant increase in new energy vehicles.
- By 2030, autonomous electric and on-demand transportation will converge, leading to the rapid decline of combustion engines and the potential disappearance of millions of jobs.
-
23:30 🔋 By 2030, electric vehicles will be cheaper than gasoline, solar energy will be the cheapest source, and a 100% solar, wind, and battery energy system will transform the existing energy system.
- Transportation and energy disruptions will lead to electric vehicles being cheaper than gasoline and most miles being electric by 2030.
- Solar energy is now the cheapest source of energy, with costs dropping significantly and leading to a shift towards solar and wind energy and battery storage for economic reasons.
- The speaker discusses the potential for a 100% solar, wind, and battery energy system and how it will lead to a dramatic transformation of the existing energy system.
- Alaska and Germany can be powered with 100% solar and wind energy without the need for seasonal storage or hydrogen.
- The new clean energy system allows for massive power generation with minimal storage, leading to a 20% increase in investment and 200% increase in energy return.
-
30:45 🚀 Precision fermentation technology is disrupting traditional industries like insulin and dairy production, leading to potential job market disruption and collapse of the dairy industry by 2025.
- Precision fermentation using genetically modified yeast disrupted the production of animal insulin within 13 years, leading to a more cost-effective and efficient process.
- Precision fermentation technology is disrupting the dairy industry by producing proteins that can replace traditional dairy products.
- The cost of PF has decreased significantly over the last 20 years due to advancements in production methods, leading to potential disruption in the job market.
- The dairy industry will collapse by 2025 due to the economic efficiency of precision fermentation, which is 100 times more resource efficient than livestock and can be made anywhere with minimal resources.
-
36:02 🚀 Disruptions in multiple sectors will lead to worldwide disequilibrium, with the collapse of old industries and rise of new ones, including Precision fermentation, leading to decarbonization and net negative carbon emissions by 2040.
- Disruptions in food, energy, transport, information technology, and materials sectors will lead to a worldwide disequilibrium in the 2020s and 30s.
- The speaker predicts the collapse of old industries and the rise of new ones, including Precision fermentation, which could lead to the decarbonization of 90% of the economy by 2035 and a net negative carbon emissions by 2040.
- The cost of intelligence, labor, energy, transport, and food are all asymptotically approaching zero, and those who understand and adapt to these disruptions will be best positioned to thrive in the great transformation of humanity.
-------------------------------------
Duration: 0:40:31
Publication Date: 2024-07-27T12:02:19Z
WatchUrl:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_-_sjbJwqg
-------------------------------------